Thursday, June 10, 2010
Betting Tips
Ok I thought for my first post I would talk about the betting markets and where I see there is value to be had over the next few weeks.
I think Di Natale of Italy at 50/1 to be top goalscorer is a fantastic each way bet. He has scored 29 goals this season for Udinese. In addition to this Italy have a group containing New Zealand Paraguay and Slovakia. New Zealand could be the worst team in the tournament and will be sure to leak plenty of goals. I saw Paraguay in Dublin recently and they were very poor. Although this was just a friendly, they lacked any sort of hunger and their defence lacked balance and speed. If Italy win their group they are due to play the runners up in the group containing Holland, Denmark, Japan and Cameroom. Taking all of this into account, I think Di Natale has an outstanding chance of being in the top 5 goalscorers in this years World Cup.
Another good bet is 11/1 on Bet Fair. A Spain Brazil Final. Spain and Brazil are the the two form teams in the world at the moment and both play possession football which will be very important when altitude starts to have its effect on the players
For an early bet to get the tournament off to a good start, I think a double of England V USA and Germany V Australia to both be a draw at 18/1 is outstanding value on Bet Fair. Both USA and Austraila are physical sides who will start the tournament well and will not give either Germany or England much time and space on the ball. Australia were outstanding when they played Ireland in Thomond Park last year. Both teams have great goalkeepers who will be known to viewers of the English Premiership, Tim Howard and Mark Schwarzer.
Finally if you think there may be a shock on the first day you could do far worse than putting a few quid on Uruguay to shock the French at 3/1 and yes most Irish fans will only be too happy if Diego Forlan has been the nemesis of Raymond Domenech and Thierry Henry.
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